Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 9.029197 10.045076 11.156681 12.468158 13.979301 15.673207 17.725851
2025-11-30 7.568319 8.889691 10.439045 12.406929 14.864269 17.864186 21.854345
2025-12-07 6.510520 7.917184 9.641953 11.942487 14.976854 18.909330 24.504542
2025-12-14 5.687043 7.099008 8.890128 11.371335 14.788335 19.434943 26.424285
2025-12-21 5.163522 6.593256 8.461528 11.137846 14.969441 20.414468 29.042086
2025-12-28 5.172460 6.776412 8.944492 12.173183 17.011562 24.259954 36.501273
2026-01-04 4.931130 6.589272 8.890224 12.422980 17.913700 26.500229 41.792050
2026-01-11 4.560788 6.187832 8.491953 12.115020 17.911096 27.293252 44.744246
2026-01-18 4.403755 6.076720 8.500259 12.415171 18.888152 29.793129 51.143931
2026-01-25 4.131032 5.774751 8.197884 12.194953 18.977278 30.772811 54.847881
2026-02-01 3.900376 5.519126 7.945111 12.027370 19.128787 31.867071 58.956091
2026-02-08 3.699216 5.294686 7.723223 11.887808 19.307336 33.021238 63.388720
2026-02-15 3.471898 5.023585 7.420714 11.606769 19.238859 33.765934 67.254669
2026-02-22 3.309437 4.844507 7.253997 11.545165 19.568856 35.344872 73.394070
2026-03-01 3.089720 4.561360 6.898324 11.120997 19.165920 35.373363 75.832360
2026-03-08 2.869527 4.265861 6.504579 10.598461 18.520640 34.810324 76.682331
2026-03-15 2.724221 4.084292 6.290514 10.384685 18.461546 35.497481 80.934710
2026-03-22 2.794163 4.258680 6.689163 11.331872 20.848820 41.980608 102.801915
2026-03-29 2.736267 4.215554 6.707618 11.560121 21.766275 45.236327 116.480037
2026-04-05 2.601556 4.035194 6.473271 11.278712 21.553336 45.721430 121.693521
2026-04-12 2.560434 4.012874 6.519141 11.552987 22.595979 49.516624 139.032352
2026-04-19 2.452197 3.868758 6.335959 11.351768 22.539867 50.460501 146.846798
2026-04-26 2.357550 3.744161 6.181848 11.198588 22.579319 51.669595 156.078892